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Two items ran across my desk yesterday that I’m finally getting to. The first is from Michael Yon on Afghanistan:

We must alter our expectations for Afghanistan. There are bigger problems afoot. The ice is melting, banks are melting, and the prestige of great nations that do great things is melting, because they thought they could transform a thorny bush into a tree.

The second is just from some guy, but its thought-provoking to say the least.

It’s Not Just Generals Who Fight the Last War.

Most of the countries with whom the United States enjoys extremely tense relations have a view of the world that is considerably more akin to Vatican foreign policy than American: Ordinarily, they think in terms of decades and centuries, where we think in terms of Presidential terms. China, Iran, and Russia, while sharing virtually no other foreign policy views or assumptions, all believe that they have been here before the rise of the West, they will be here after, and their first goal is to identify Western (especially American) weakness and exploit it. Worse for us, each of those countries is facing both an economic collapse — where material well-being was one of the only reasons not to overthrow the regime — and a demographic collapse, both of which leave them keen to find advantage and use it.

Read the second article in its entirety.

Its not that I necessarily think that these opinions are correct. But with Iraq becoming more stable by the day we’ve been preconditioned to accept increased focus on “winning” Afghanistan.

Maybe expectations need to change.